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Start Courtland Sutton or Pat Freiermuth? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Courtland Sutton over Pat Freiermuth

Books imply
9.1
fantasy pts
Snap share
74%
Through Week 2
Target share
16%
Through Week 2
Books imply
9.0
fantasy pts

Our Week 3 call

Start Courtland Sutton over Pat Freiermuth in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Courtland Sutton at 9.1 points and Pat Freiermuth at 9.0, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Pat Freiermuth's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 9.1 fantasy points for Courtland Sutton, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Courtland Sutton at 37.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 27% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 9.0 fantasy points for Pat Freiermuth, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Pat Freiermuth at 35.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 21% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 14 books).

That puts Courtland Sutton 0.1 points ahead of Pat Freiermuth on the books.

Injury status

Courtland Sutton is not on the injury report.

Pat Freiermuth is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Courtland Sutton played 74 percent of DEN snaps, drew 16 percent of the targets, earned 20 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Courtland Sutton, Week 1 against KC: 39 of 51 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards.

Courtland Sutton, Week 2 against JAX: 45 of 62 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 25 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Courtland Sutton played 17 games for DEN and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.

He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 795 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Courtland Sutton, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 2 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards, 1.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR37 · DEN · bye 10

2025 vs rec yds line 10-7

Overall rank
91
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
12

Ranked behind

TE14 · PIT · bye 9

2025 vs rec yds line 9-8

Overall rank
110
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board19
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 12 and tier 2
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board