Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Pat Freiermuth? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Pat Freiermuth over Aaron Jones Sr.

- Books imply
- 9.0
- fantasy pts

- Books imply
- 8.9
- fantasy pts
Our Week 3 call
Start Pat Freiermuth over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Pat Freiermuth at 9.0 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 8.9, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Pat Freiermuth's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 9.0 fantasy points for Pat Freiermuth, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Pat Freiermuth at 35.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 21% chance to score a touchdown (15, 13 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 8.9 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books give Aaron Jones Sr. a 51% chance to score a touchdown (14 books).
That puts Pat Freiermuth 0.1 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on the books.
Injury status
Pat Freiermuth is not on the injury report.
Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB17 · MIN · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 4-8
- Overall rank
- 28
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
Ranked behind
TE15 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs rec yds line 9-8
- Overall rank
- 103
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board75
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 6 and tier 3
- Board size227 draftable players
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