Start Carnell Tate or Quentin Johnston? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Quentin Johnston over Carnell Tate
Wrong: 3.7 to 7.8
- Books imply
- 7.4
- fantasy pts
- ARI D vs WR
- 27.9
- 16th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 78%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 22%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 3.7
- PPR pts
- NYJ D vs WR
- 24.4
- 11th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 88%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 21%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 7.8
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Quentin Johnston over Carnell Tate in Week 1.
Quentin Johnston is priced by the books at 7.4 projected points. Carnell Tate has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Quentin Johnston at ADP 91 and Carnell Tate at 81. Market coverage on Quentin Johnston is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Carnell Tate in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 7.4 fantasy points for Quentin Johnston, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Carnell Tate and TEN host NYJ.
NYJ allowed 24.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 11th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 94 yards and a touchdown against NYJ.
Quentin Johnston and LAC host ARI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
ARI allowed 27.9 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 16th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 119 yards and a touchdown against ARI.
By points allowed to the position, Quentin Johnston has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Carnell Tate was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Quentin Johnston was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Quentin Johnston played 14 games for LAC and scored 171.2 PPR points, 12.2 a game, finishing WR34.
He caught 51 of 85 targets for 735 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 514 air yards.
He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Quentin Johnston, Week 17 of 2025 against HOU: 47 of 63 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 98 yards, 14.8 PPR points.
Quentin Johnston, Week 16 of 2025 against DAL: 37 of 64 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 104 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.4 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Quentin Johnston scored 3.7 PPR points and Carnell Tate scored 7.8.
The call was wrong: Carnell Tate outscored Quentin Johnston by 4.1.
Quentin Johnston finished 3.7 points below the 7.4 the props implied.
Quentin Johnston, Week 1 against ARI: 43 of 55 snaps, 6 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards, 3.7 PPR points.
Quentin Johnston finished as the week's WR82 in PPR scoring.
Carnell Tate, Week 1 against NYJ: 44 of 50 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 38 yards, 7.8 PPR points.
Carnell Tate finished as the week's WR52 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR22 · TEN · bye 9
- Overall rank
- 85
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR59 · LAC · bye 7
2025 vs rec yds line 4-10
- Overall rank
- 162
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 9
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board77
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 9
- Board size244 draftable players
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