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Start Chase Brown or Chuba Hubbard? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Chuba Hubbard over Chase Brown

Books imply
16.0
fantasy pts
Snap share
68%
Through Week 2
Target share
8%
Through Week 2
Sit

Chase Brown

RB · CIN · at PIT

Books imply
16.1
fantasy pts
PIT D vs RB
26.5
7th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
71%
Through Week 2
Target share
17%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Chuba Hubbard over Chase Brown in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Chuba Hubbard at 16.0 points and Chase Brown at 16.1, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 16.1 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Chase Brown at 63.5 rushing yards, 21.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 51% chance to score a touchdown (13, 16, 12 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Chuba Hubbard, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Chuba Hubbard at 71.5 rushing yards, 15.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 54% chance to score a touchdown (14, 15, 14 and 15 books).

That puts Chase Brown 0.1 points ahead of Chuba Hubbard on the books.

Week 3 matchups

Chase Brown and CIN visit PIT on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

PIT allowed 26.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 2 games, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 117 yards and 0.5 touchdowns a game against PIT and caught passes for 49 more yards.

Injury status

Chase Brown is not on the injury report.

Chuba Hubbard is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Chase Brown played 71 percent of CIN snaps, took 75 percent of the carries, drew 17 percent of the targets and had 41 percent of the red zone chances.

Chase Brown, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 56 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.

Through Week 2, Chuba Hubbard played 68 percent of CAR snaps, took 51 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 1 against CHI: 48 of 68 snaps, 10 carries for 49 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 38 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 2 against ATL: 43 of 66 snaps, 12 carries for 53 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chase Brown, Week 18 of 2025 against CLE: 13 carries for 72 yards, 6 targets and 4 catches for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 19.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Chuba Hubbard played 15 games for CAR and scored 125.4 PPR points, 8.4 a game, finishing RB38.

He ran 134 times for 511 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 39 targets for 223 yards.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 23 of 51 snaps, 5 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 3.7 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB9 · CIN · bye 6

2025 vs rush yds line 7-10

Overall rank
14
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB10 · CAR · bye 5

2025 vs rush yds line 5-10

Overall rank
16
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board2
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 4
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board