Start Derrick Henry or Chase Brown? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Derrick Henry over Chase Brown

- Books imply
- 18.1
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 54%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 8%
- Through Week 2

- Books imply
- 16.1
- fantasy pts
- PIT D vs RB
- 26.5
- 7th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 71%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 17%
- Through Week 2
Our Week 3 call
Start Derrick Henry over Chase Brown in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Derrick Henry at 18.1 points and Chase Brown at 16.1, a gap of 2.0.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 18.1 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Derrick Henry at 89.5 rushing yards, 9.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 67% chance to score a touchdown (15, 9, 9 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 16.1 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Chase Brown at 63.5 rushing yards, 21.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 50% chance to score a touchdown (11, 16, 12 and 15 books).
That puts Derrick Henry 2.0 points ahead of Chase Brown on the books.
Week 3 matchups
Chase Brown and CIN visit PIT on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
PIT allowed 26.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 2 games, the 7th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 117 yards and 0.5 touchdowns a game against PIT and caught passes for 49 more yards.
Injury status
Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.
Chase Brown is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Derrick Henry played 54 percent of BAL snaps, took 71 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 65 percent of the red zone chances.
Derrick Henry, Week 1 against IND: 37 of 68 snaps, 24 carries for 144 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.
Derrick Henry, Week 2 against NO: 31 of 58 snaps, 16 carries for 68 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 1 touchdown.
Through Week 2, Chase Brown played 71 percent of CIN snaps, took 75 percent of the carries, drew 17 percent of the targets and had 41 percent of the red zone chances.
Chase Brown, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 56 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.
Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.
He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.
He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Derrick Henry, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 20 carries for 126 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 12.6 PPR points.
In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.
He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.
He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Chase Brown, Week 18 of 2025 against CLE: 13 carries for 72 yards, 6 targets and 4 catches for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 19.0 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB4 · BAL · bye 13
2025 vs rush yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 6
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
Ranked behind
RB9 · CIN · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 7-10
- Overall rank
- 14
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board8
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 3 and tier 5
- Board size230 draftable players
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