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Start Chris Godwin Jr. or Michael Pittman Jr.? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Michael Pittman Jr. over Chris Godwin Jr.

Right: 8.8 to 8.3
Start

Michael Pittman Jr.

WR · PIT · vs ATL

Books imply
3.9
fantasy pts
ATL D vs WR
22.4
8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
88%
Week 1
Target share
8%
Week 1
Scored
8.8
PPR pts
Sit

Chris Godwin Jr.

WR · TB · at CIN

CIN D vs WR
25.8
13th fewest to WRs (2026)
Scored
8.3
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Michael Pittman Jr. over Chris Godwin Jr. in Week 1.

Michael Pittman Jr. is priced by the books at 3.9 projected points. Chris Godwin Jr. has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Michael Pittman Jr. at ADP 74 and Chris Godwin Jr. at 77. Market coverage on Michael Pittman Jr. is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 3.9 fantasy points for Michael Pittman Jr., with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Chris Godwin Jr. in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Michael Pittman Jr. and PIT host ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 22.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 124 yards and no touchdowns against ATL.

Chris Godwin Jr. and TB visit CIN.

CIN allowed 25.8 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 139 yards and no touchdowns against CIN.

By points allowed to the position, Chris Godwin Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Michael Pittman Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Chris Godwin Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Michael Pittman Jr. played 17 games for IND and scored 202.4 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR18.

He caught 80 of 111 targets for 784 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 525 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Michael Pittman Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 4 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards, 3.1 PPR points.

Michael Pittman Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against JAX: 49 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 3.6 PPR points.

Michael Pittman Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against SF: 56 of 60 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 32 yards, 7.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Chris Godwin Jr. played 9 games for TB and scored 83.0 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing WR78.

He caught 33 of 51 targets for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 154 air yards.

He was on the field for 71 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 47 of 67 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 53 of 67 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 108 yards, 1 touchdown, 23.8 PPR points.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 41 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 30 yards, 8.0 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Michael Pittman Jr. scored 8.8 PPR points and Chris Godwin Jr. scored 8.3.

The call was right: Michael Pittman Jr. outscored Chris Godwin Jr. by 0.5.

Michael Pittman Jr. finished 5.0 points above the 3.9 the props implied.

Michael Pittman Jr., Week 1 against ATL: 59 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 58 yards, 8.8 PPR points.

Michael Pittman Jr. finished as the week's WR44 in PPR scoring.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 1 against CIN: 49 of 57 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards, 8.3 PPR points.

Chris Godwin Jr. finished as the week's WR47 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR13 · TB · bye 10

2025 vs rec yds line 3-6

Overall rank
73
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR20 · PIT · bye 9

2025 vs rec yds line 5-12

Overall rank
83
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board10
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size244 draftable players

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