Start Chris Godwin Jr. or Jayden Reed? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Jayden Reed over Chris Godwin Jr.
Wrong: 5.0 to 8.3
- MIN D vs WR
- 55.2
- 2nd most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 57%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 18%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 5.0
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 2.2
- fantasy pts
- CIN D vs WR
- 25.8
- 13th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 86%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 15%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 8.3
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Jayden Reed over Chris Godwin Jr. in Week 1.
Chris Godwin Jr. is priced by the books at 2.2 projected points and Jayden Reed is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Jayden Reed at ADP 85 and Chris Godwin Jr. at 77.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 2.2 fantasy points for Chris Godwin Jr., with 33 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Jayden Reed in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Chris Godwin Jr. and TB visit CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CIN allowed 25.8 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 13th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 139 yards and no touchdowns against CIN.
Jayden Reed and GB visit MIN.
MIN allowed 55.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns against MIN.
By points allowed to the position, Jayden Reed has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Chris Godwin Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Jayden Reed was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Chris Godwin Jr. played 9 games for TB and scored 83.0 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing WR78.
He caught 33 of 51 targets for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 154 air yards.
He was on the field for 71 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 47 of 67 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 53 of 67 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 108 yards, 1 touchdown, 23.8 PPR points.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 41 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 30 yards, 8.0 PPR points.
In 2025, Jayden Reed played 7 games for GB and scored 48.5 PPR points, 6.9 a game, finishing WR114.
He caught 19 of 22 targets for 207 yards and 1 touchdown, with 3 red zone targets and 122 air yards.
He was on the field for 45 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Jayden Reed, Week 18 of 2025 against MIN: 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Jayden Reed, Week 17 of 2025 against BAL: 24 of 47 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 41 yards, 8.1 PPR points.
Jayden Reed, Week 16 of 2025 against CHI: 46 of 72 snaps, 1 carry for 6 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.1 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Jayden Reed scored 5.0 PPR points and Chris Godwin Jr. scored 8.3.
The call was wrong: Chris Godwin Jr. outscored Jayden Reed by 3.3.
Jayden Reed, Week 1 against MIN: 39 of 68 snaps, 7 targets and 3 catches for 20 yards, 5.0 PPR points.
Jayden Reed finished as the week's WR72 in PPR scoring.
Chris Godwin Jr. finished 6.1 points above the 2.2 the props implied.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 1 against CIN: 49 of 57 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards, 8.3 PPR points.
Chris Godwin Jr. finished as the week's WR47 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR13 · TB · bye 10
2025 vs rec yds line 3-6
- Overall rank
- 73
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR34 · GB · bye 11
2025 vs anytime td line 1-6
- Overall rank
- 101
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board28
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 5
- Board size244 draftable players
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