Start Chris Olave or Zay Flowers? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Zay Flowers over Chris Olave

- Books imply
- 17.1
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 29%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 25%
- Through Week 1

- Books imply
- 17.2
- fantasy pts
- LV D vs WR
- 20.9
- 4th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 85%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 27%
- Through Week 2
Our Week 3 call
Start Zay Flowers over Chris Olave in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Zay Flowers at 17.1 points and Chris Olave at 17.2, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Zay Flowers's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Chris Olave, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Chris Olave at 77.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 40% chance to score a touchdown (14, 10 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 17.1 fantasy points for Zay Flowers, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Zay Flowers at 71.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 47% chance to score a touchdown (7, 6 and 6 books).
That puts Chris Olave 0.1 points ahead of Zay Flowers on the books.
Week 3 matchups
Chris Olave and NO host LV on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
LV allowed 20.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 2 games, the 4th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 140 yards and no touchdowns a game against LV.
Injury status
Chris Olave is not on the injury report.
Zay Flowers is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Chris Olave played 85 percent of NO snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 49 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.
Chris Olave, Week 1 against DET: 77 of 90 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 182 yards.
Chris Olave, Week 2 against BAL: 57 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.
Through Week 1, Zay Flowers played 29 percent of BAL snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 34 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Zay Flowers, Week 1 against IND: 20 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 150 yards, 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Chris Olave played 16 games for NO and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.
He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 874 air yards.
He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Chris Olave, Week 17 of 2025 against TEN: 49 of 54 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 119 yards, 1 touchdown, 25.9 PPR points.
In 2025, Zay Flowers played 17 games for BAL and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.
He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 753 air yards.
He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Zay Flowers, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 6 targets and 4 catches for 138 yards, 2 touchdowns, 29.8 PPR points.
Zay Flowers, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 52 of 76 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.0 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR5 · NO · bye 8
2025 vs rec yds line 9-7
- Overall rank
- 12
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
Ranked behind
WR7 · BAL · bye 13
2025 vs rec yds line 9-8
- Overall rank
- 21
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board9
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 3 and tier 4
- Board size230 draftable players
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