Start Zay Flowers or DeVonta Smith? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Zay Flowers over DeVonta Smith in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Zay Flowers at 17.0 points and DeVonta Smith at 16.1, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.0 fantasy points for Zay Flowers, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Zay Flowers at 71.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 47% chance to score a touchdown (7, 6 and 6 books).

Player prop markets imply 16.1 fantasy points for DeVonta Smith, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have DeVonta Smith at 72.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 34% chance to score a touchdown (13, 12 and 15 books).

That puts Zay Flowers 0.9 points ahead of DeVonta Smith on the books.

Week 3 matchups

DeVonta Smith and PHI visit CHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 27.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 2 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 145 yards and a touchdown a game against CHI.

Injury status

Zay Flowers is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.

DeVonta Smith is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 1, Zay Flowers played 29 percent of BAL snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 34 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Zay Flowers, Week 1 against IND: 20 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 150 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 2, DeVonta Smith played 91 percent of PHI snaps, drew 34 percent of the targets, earned 52 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

DeVonta Smith, Week 1 against WAS: 52 of 55 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards.

DeVonta Smith, Week 2 against TEN: 67 of 76 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 117 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Zay Flowers played 17 games for BAL and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 753 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Zay Flowers, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 6 targets and 4 catches for 138 yards, 2 touchdowns, 29.8 PPR points.

Zay Flowers, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 52 of 76 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.0 PPR points.

In 2025, DeVonta Smith played 17 games for PHI and scored 201.8 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR20.

He caught 77 of 113 targets for 1008 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 715 air yards.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

DeVonta Smith, Week 18 of 2025 against WAS: 4 targets and 3 catches for 52 yards, 8.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start CeeDee Lamb over Zay Flowers.
• Start Zay Flowers over Chris Olave.
• Start Zay Flowers over Davante Adams.
• Start Chris Olave over DeVonta Smith.
• Start DeVonta Smith over Christian Watson.
• Start Davante Adams over DeVonta Smith.