Start Davante Adams or Zay Flowers? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Zay Flowers over Davante Adams in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Zay Flowers at 17.0 points and Davante Adams at 16.8, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Zay Flowers's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.0 fantasy points for Zay Flowers, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Zay Flowers at 71.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 47% chance to score a touchdown (7, 6 and 6 books).

Player prop markets imply 16.8 fantasy points for Davante Adams, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Davante Adams at 75.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 46% chance to score a touchdown (7, 6 and 15 books).

That puts Zay Flowers 0.3 points ahead of Davante Adams on the books.

Injury status

Zay Flowers is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.

Davante Adams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 1, Zay Flowers played 29 percent of BAL snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 34 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Zay Flowers, Week 1 against IND: 20 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 150 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 2, Davante Adams played 59 percent of LAR snaps, drew 28 percent of the targets, earned 46 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Davante Adams, Week 1 against SF: 33 of 61 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Davante Adams, Week 2 against NYG: 40 of 62 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 195 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Zay Flowers played 17 games for BAL and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 753 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Zay Flowers, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 6 targets and 4 catches for 138 yards, 2 touchdowns, 29.8 PPR points.

Zay Flowers, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 52 of 76 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Davante Adams played 14 games for LAR and scored 222.9 PPR points, 15.9 a game, finishing WR9.

He caught 60 of 114 targets for 789 yards and 14 touchdowns, with 31 red zone targets and 671 air yards.

He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Davante Adams, Week 15 of 2025 against DET: 33 of 72 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 71 yards, 11.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start CeeDee Lamb over Zay Flowers.
• Start Zay Flowers over Chris Olave.
• Start Zay Flowers over DeVonta Smith.
• Start Adonai Mitchell over Davante Adams.
• Start Davante Adams over Chris Olave.
• Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over Davante Adams.