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Start Tyler Allgeier or Chris Rodriguez Jr.? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Tyler Allgeier

Wrong: 2.3 to 9.0
Start

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

RB · JAX · vs CLE

CLE D vs RB
16.3
11th fewest to RBs (2026)
Scored
2.3
PPR pts
Sit

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARI · at LAC

Books imply
2.1
fantasy pts
LAC D vs RB
22.0
15th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
59%
Week 1
Target share
5%
Week 1
Scored
9.0
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Tyler Allgeier in Week 1.

Tyler Allgeier is priced by the books at 2.1 projected points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Chris Rodriguez Jr. at ADP 165 and Tyler Allgeier at 169.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 2.1 fantasy points for Tyler Allgeier, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Chris Rodriguez Jr. and JAX host CLE.

CLE allowed 16.3 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 11th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 121 yards and no touchdowns against CLE and caught passes for 22 more yards.

Tyler Allgeier and ARI visit LAC on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LAC allowed 22.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 15th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 102 yards and a touchdown against LAC and caught passes for 18 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Tyler Allgeier has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chris Rodriguez Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Tyler Allgeier was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 18 of 2025 against NO: 7 carries for 16 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 3 yards, 2.9 PPR points.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 17 of 2025 against LAR: 19 of 53 snaps, 10 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.3 PPR points.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 16 of 2025 against ARI: 31 of 77 snaps, 16 carries for 79 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -6 yards, 8.3 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Chris Rodriguez Jr. scored 2.3 PPR points and Tyler Allgeier scored 9.0.

The call was wrong: Tyler Allgeier outscored Chris Rodriguez Jr. by 6.7.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 1 against CLE: 23 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.3 PPR points.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. finished as the week's RB62 in PPR scoring.

Tyler Allgeier finished 6.9 points above the 2.1 the props implied.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 1 against LAC: 44 of 75 snaps, 17 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards, 9.0 PPR points.

Tyler Allgeier finished as the week's RB29 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB38 · ARI · bye 14

2025 vs rush yds line 8-9

Overall rank
129
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
9

Ranked behind

RB43 · JAX · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 6-7

Overall rank
167
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board38
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 9 and tier 10
  • Board size244 draftable players

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