Start Braelon Allen or Chris Rodriguez Jr.? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Braelon Allen
Wrong: 2.3 to 4.0
- Books imply
- 2.5
- fantasy pts
- CLE D vs RB
- 16.3
- 11th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 2.3
- PPR pts
- TEN D vs RB
- 23.8
- 15th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 40%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 4.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Braelon Allen in Week 1.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. is priced by the books at 2.5 projected points. Braelon Allen has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Chris Rodriguez Jr. at ADP 180 and Braelon Allen at 185. Market coverage on Chris Rodriguez Jr. is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 2.5 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Braelon Allen in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Chris Rodriguez Jr. and JAX host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CLE allowed 16.3 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 11th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 121 yards and no touchdowns against CLE and caught passes for 22 more yards.
Braelon Allen and NYJ visit TEN.
TEN allowed 23.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 15th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 142 yards and a touchdown against TEN and caught passes for 16 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Braelon Allen has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Chris Rodriguez Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Braelon Allen was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.
He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.
He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Chris Rodriguez Jr. scored 2.3 PPR points and Braelon Allen scored 4.0.
The call was wrong: Braelon Allen outscored Chris Rodriguez Jr. by 1.7.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. finished 0.2 points below the 2.5 the props implied.
Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 1 against CLE: 23 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.3 PPR points.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. finished as the week's RB62 in PPR scoring.
Braelon Allen, Week 1 against TEN: 27 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 4.0 PPR points.
Braelon Allen finished as the week's RB50 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB39 · NYJ · bye 13
2025 vs rush yds line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 155
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
Ranked behind
RB43 · JAX · bye 7
2025 vs anytime td line 6-7
- Overall rank
- 167
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board12
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 10
- Board size244 draftable players
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