Start Alvin Kamara or Chris Rodriguez Jr.? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Alvin Kamara over Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Wrong: 0.0 to 2.3
- DET D vs RB
- 25.0
- 12th most to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 3.8
- fantasy pts
- CLE D vs RB
- 16.3
- 11th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 2.3
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Alvin Kamara over Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 1.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. is priced by the books at 3.8 projected points and Alvin Kamara is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Alvin Kamara at ADP 159 and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 165.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Alvin Kamara in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 3.8 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 40 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Alvin Kamara and NO visit DET.
DET allowed 25.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 12th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 80 yards and a touchdown against DET and caught passes for 30 more yards.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. and JAX host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CLE allowed 16.3 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 11th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 121 yards and no touchdowns against CLE and caught passes for 22 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Alvin Kamara was listed as questionable when the call was made.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.
He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.
He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Alvin Kamara scored 0.0 PPR points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. scored 2.3.
The call was wrong: Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscored Alvin Kamara by 2.3.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. finished 1.5 points below the 3.8 the props implied.
Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 1 against CLE: 23 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.3 PPR points.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. finished as the week's RB62 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB29 · NO · bye 8
2025 vs rush yds line 2-9
- Overall rank
- 57
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB43 · JAX · bye 7
2025 vs anytime td line 6-7
- Overall rank
- 167
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board110
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 10
- Board size244 draftable players
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