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Start Jahmyr Gibbs or Christian McCaffrey? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jahmyr Gibbs over Christian McCaffrey

Start

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · DET · vs NYJ

Books imply
24.3
fantasy pts
NYJ D vs RB
12.1
2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
78%
Through Week 2
Target share
17%
Through Week 2
Books imply
19.7
fantasy pts
Snap share
54%
Through Week 2
Target share
22%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Jahmyr Gibbs over Christian McCaffrey in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Jahmyr Gibbs at 24.3 points and Christian McCaffrey at 19.7, a gap of 4.6. Christian McCaffrey's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 24.3 fantasy points for Jahmyr Gibbs, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Jahmyr Gibbs at 88.5 rushing yards, 34.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 72% chance to score a touchdown (14, 15, 12 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 19.7 fantasy points for Christian McCaffrey, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Christian McCaffrey at 55.5 rushing yards, with a 70% chance to score a touchdown (11 and 15 books).

That puts Jahmyr Gibbs 4.6 points ahead of Christian McCaffrey on the books.

Week 3 matchups

Jahmyr Gibbs and DET host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 12.1 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 2 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 55 yards and no touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 16 more yards.

Injury status

Jahmyr Gibbs is not on the injury report.

Christian McCaffrey is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Jahmyr Gibbs played 78 percent of DET snaps, took 85 percent of the carries, drew 17 percent of the targets and had 48 percent of the red zone chances.

Jahmyr Gibbs, Week 1 against NO: 57 of 77 snaps, 29 carries for 156 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 30 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Jahmyr Gibbs, Week 2 against BUF: 54 of 65 snaps, 16 carries for 52 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 61 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 2, Christian McCaffrey played 54 percent of SF snaps, took 36 percent of the carries, drew 22 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian McCaffrey, Week 1 against LAR: 36 of 65 snaps, 10 carries for 68 yards, 8 targets and 5 catches for 20 yards.

Christian McCaffrey, Week 2 against MIA: 27 of 52 snaps, 10 carries for 23 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jahmyr Gibbs played 17 games for DET and scored 366.9 PPR points, 21.6 a game, finishing RB3.

He ran 243 times for 1223 yards and 13 touchdowns, and caught 77 of 94 targets for 616 yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jahmyr Gibbs, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 19 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.3 PPR points.

In 2025, Christian McCaffrey played 17 games for SF and scored 416.6 PPR points, 24.5 a game, finishing RB1.

He ran 311 times for 1202 yards and 10 touchdowns, and caught 102 of 129 targets for 924 yards.

He was on the field for 83 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Christian McCaffrey, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 36 of 42 snaps, 8 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 34 yards, 11.7 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB1 · DET · bye 6

2025 vs rush yds line 7-10

Overall rank
1
Draft pick
ADP 1
Tier
1

Ranked behind

RB7 · SF · bye 8

2025 vs rush yds line 6-11

Overall rank
10
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board9
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 4
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

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