Start Jahmyr Gibbs or Derrick Henry? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Jahmyr Gibbs over Derrick Henry

- Books imply
- 24.2
- fantasy pts
- NYJ D vs RB
- 12.1
- 2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 78%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 17%
- Through Week 2

- Books imply
- 18.4
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 54%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 8%
- Through Week 2
Our Week 3 call
Start Jahmyr Gibbs over Derrick Henry in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Jahmyr Gibbs at 24.2 points and Derrick Henry at 18.4, a gap of 5.8.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 24.2 fantasy points for Jahmyr Gibbs, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Jahmyr Gibbs at 87.5 rushing yards, 35.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 71% chance to score a touchdown (14, 15, 12 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Derrick Henry at 89.5 rushing yards, 10.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 68% chance to score a touchdown (15, 13, 12 and 15 books).
That puts Jahmyr Gibbs 5.8 points ahead of Derrick Henry on the books.
Week 3 matchups
Jahmyr Gibbs and DET host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NYJ allowed 12.1 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 2 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 55 yards and no touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 16 more yards.
Injury status
Jahmyr Gibbs is not on the injury report.
Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Jahmyr Gibbs played 78 percent of DET snaps, took 85 percent of the carries, drew 17 percent of the targets and had 48 percent of the red zone chances.
Jahmyr Gibbs, Week 1 against NO: 57 of 77 snaps, 29 carries for 156 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 30 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Jahmyr Gibbs, Week 2 against BUF: 54 of 65 snaps, 16 carries for 52 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 61 yards, 1 touchdown.
Through Week 2, Derrick Henry played 54 percent of BAL snaps, took 71 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 65 percent of the red zone chances.
Derrick Henry, Week 1 against IND: 37 of 68 snaps, 24 carries for 144 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.
Derrick Henry, Week 2 against NO: 31 of 58 snaps, 16 carries for 68 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Jahmyr Gibbs played 17 games for DET and scored 366.9 PPR points, 21.6 a game, finishing RB3.
He ran 243 times for 1223 yards and 13 touchdowns, and caught 77 of 94 targets for 616 yards.
He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Jahmyr Gibbs, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 19 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.3 PPR points.
In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.
He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.
He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Derrick Henry, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 20 carries for 126 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 12.6 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB1 · DET · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 7-10
- Overall rank
- 1
- Draft pick
- ADP 1
- Tier
- 1
Ranked behind
RB4 · BAL · bye 13
2025 vs rush yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 6
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board5
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 1 and tier 3
- Board size230 draftable players
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