Should I start Justin Jefferson or Christian Watson in Week 10?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Jefferson, and the board ranks him 60th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 15.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Christian Watson, and the board ranks him 61st overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Justin Jefferson is 3.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Christian Watson is 3.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Justin Jefferson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 80 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 29 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 21 of the offence's 63 third down targets, had 1 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 51 targets have averaged 10.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against IND he caught 4 of 7 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DET he caught 5 of 9 targets for 33 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against BUF he caught 3 of 11 targets for 58 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Christian Watson has been on the field for 77 percent of GB snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 23 of the offence's 94 third down targets, had 3 of its 23 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 38 two minute targets.

His 74 targets have averaged 14.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against DET he caught 5 of 8 targets for 57 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CAR he caught 8 of 10 targets for 113 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against NE he caught 7 of 8 targets for 171 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Christian Watson played 10 games and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 18 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson was available for 7 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Christian Watson scored 13.2 PPR points a game and Justin Jefferson 11.9, 1.4 a game between them.

Justin Jefferson finished WR21 that year and Christian Watson WR46.

Justin Jefferson had 86 more targets than Christian Watson, 141 to 55.

Justin Jefferson had 437 more receiving yards than Christian Watson, 1048 to 611.

This season Justin Jefferson holds the bigger snap share, 80 percent against 77 percent.

This season Justin Jefferson holds the bigger target share, 29 percent against 22 percent.

Byes and availability

Justin Jefferson is off in Week 6 and Christian Watson in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.