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Start Jared Goff or C.J. Stroud? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jared Goff over C.J. Stroud

Start

Jared Goff

QB

Books imply
17.2
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 2
Books imply
16.9
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Jared Goff over C.J. Stroud in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Jared Goff at 17.2 points and C.J. Stroud at 16.9, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Jared Goff at 258.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 5% chance to score a touchdown (14, 17 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for C.J. Stroud, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have C.J. Stroud at 236.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 9.5 rushing yards, with a 11% chance to score a touchdown (14, 17, 14 and 14 books).

That puts Jared Goff 0.3 points ahead of C.J. Stroud on the books.

Injury status

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Jared Goff played 100 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 85 times and threw an average of 7.1 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 1 against NO: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 39 passes for 206 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 2 against BUF: 65 of 65 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 327 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 7 yards.

Through Week 2, C.J. Stroud played 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 102 times and threw an average of 8.8 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 1 against BUF: 79 of 79 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 274 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 15 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 2 against CIN: 80 of 80 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 353 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 29 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jared Goff, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 27 of 42 passes for 331 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 16.2 PPR points.

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

C.J. Stroud, Week 18 of 2025 against IND: 14 of 23 passes for 169 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards, 17.3 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB17 · DET · bye 6

2025 vs pass yds line 10-7

Overall rank
101
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

QB18 · HOU · bye 8

2025 vs pass yds line 8-6

Overall rank
108
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board7
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board