Start Terrance Ferguson or Courtland Sutton? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Terrance Ferguson over Courtland Sutton in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Terrance Ferguson at 9.4 points and Courtland Sutton at 9.2, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Terrance Ferguson's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Market coverage on Terrance Ferguson is 60 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 9.4 fantasy points for Terrance Ferguson, with 60 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books give Terrance Ferguson a 25% chance to score a touchdown (15 books).

Player prop markets imply 9.2 fantasy points for Courtland Sutton, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Courtland Sutton at 37.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 27% chance to score a touchdown (14, 13 and 15 books).

That puts Terrance Ferguson 0.3 points ahead of Courtland Sutton on the books.

Injury status

Terrance Ferguson is listed as questionable.

Courtland Sutton is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Courtland Sutton played 74 percent of DEN snaps, drew 16 percent of the targets, earned 20 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Courtland Sutton, Week 1 against KC: 39 of 51 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards.

Courtland Sutton, Week 2 against JAX: 45 of 62 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 25 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Courtland Sutton played 17 games for DEN and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.

He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 795 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Courtland Sutton, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 2 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards, 1.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Terrance Ferguson over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start Terrance Ferguson over Devaughn Vele.
• Start Harold Fannin Jr. over Terrance Ferguson.
• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Courtland Sutton.
• Start Courtland Sutton over Carnell Tate.
• Start Courtland Sutton over Chris Godwin Jr..