Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Terrance Ferguson? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Terrance Ferguson over Aaron Jones Sr.

- Books imply
- 9.4
- fantasy pts

- Books imply
- 9.4
- fantasy pts
Our Week 3 call
Start Terrance Ferguson over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Terrance Ferguson at 9.4 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 9.4, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 9.4 fantasy points for Terrance Ferguson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books give Terrance Ferguson a 25% chance to score a touchdown (15 books).
Player prop markets imply 9.4 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books give Aaron Jones Sr. a 51% chance to score a touchdown (14 books).
That puts Terrance Ferguson 0.0 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on the books.
Injury status
Terrance Ferguson is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.
Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB16 · MIN · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 4-8
- Overall rank
- 25
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
TE8 · LAR · bye 11
2025 vs anytime td line 3-11
- Overall rank
- 73
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board48
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 2
- Board size230 draftable players
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