Start Dak Prescott or Joe Burrow? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Joe Burrow at 18.8 points and Dak Prescott at 18.8, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 18.8 fantasy points for Joe Burrow, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Joe Burrow at 253.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 13% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 18.8 fantasy points for Dak Prescott, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Dak Prescott at 264.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 12.5 rushing yards, with a 13% chance to score a touchdown (15, 17, 15 and 15 books).

That puts Joe Burrow 0.0 points ahead of Dak Prescott on the books.

Injury status

Joe Burrow is not on the injury report.

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Joe Burrow played 100 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 73 times and threw an average of 6.0 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 1 against TB: 64 of 64 snaps, 25 of 35 passes for 254 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 21 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 2 against HOU: 60 of 60 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 207 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 2, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 72 times and threw an average of 8.5 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 1 against NYG: 58 of 58 snaps, 22 of 34 passes for 175 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 2 against WAS: 55 of 55 snaps, 26 of 31 passes for 279 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 26 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Joe Burrow, Week 18 of 2025 against CLE: 29 of 39 passes for 236 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards, 22.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dak Prescott, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 7 of 11 passes for 70 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for -1 yards, 0.7 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Joe Burrow over Bo Nix.
• Start Bryce Young over Joe Burrow.
• Start Joe Burrow over C.J. Stroud.
• Start Brock Purdy over Dak Prescott.
• Start Dak Prescott over Drake Maye.
• Start Jared Goff over Dak Prescott.