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Should I start Dak Prescott or Joe Burrow in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 8:46 PM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott

Burrow projects lower, 18.7 to 19.2, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 55 for Burrow, 64 for Prescott.

Start

QB · CIN · at BAL

Market projects
18.7
fantasy pts
BAL D vs QB
15.4
11th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
42 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 5
Sit

QB · DAL · at PHI

Market projects
19.2
fantasy pts
PHI D vs QB
19.4
9th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
High
100 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 6
Start Burrow or Prescott? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott in Week 7. Burrow projects lower, 18.7 to 19.2, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 55 for Burrow, 64 for Prescott.

Should I drop Dak Prescott for Joe Burrow?

Not on these numbers alone. Dak Prescott projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.2 a game over 10 games) and Joe Burrow 189 (17.2 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB4 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs pass yds line 4-2

Overall rank
59

QB6 · CIN · bye 6

2026 vs pass yds line 2-3

Overall rank
62

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dak Prescott, and the board ranks him 59th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Joe Burrow, and the board ranks him 62nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Dak Prescott is 19.1 PPR points a game off 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Joe Burrow is 18.8 PPR points a game off 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Dak Prescott's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 6, Dak Prescott has been on the field for 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 265 times and thrown 7.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 37 of 265 dropbacks and scrambled 12 times.

In Week 4 against HOU he completed 32 of 45 passes for 335 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 7 yards.

In Week 5 against TB he completed 24 of 42 passes for 316 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.

In Week 6 against GB he completed 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 2 times for 7 yards.

Through Week 5, Joe Burrow has been on the field for 100 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 204 times and thrown 7.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 36 of 204 dropbacks and scrambled 6 times.

In Week 3 against PIT he completed 28 of 37 passes for 282 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 13 yards.

In Week 4 against JAX he completed 39 of 54 passes for 428 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 3 times for 6 yards.

In Week 5 against MIA he completed 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dak Prescott played 17 games and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He threw for 4552 yards on 600 attempts with 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

That came to 35.3 attempts a game at 7.6 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Joe Burrow played 8 games and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He threw for 1809 yards on 259 attempts with 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 32.4 attempts a game at 7.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Dak Prescott was available for 9 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Dak Prescott scored 19.0 PPR points a game and Joe Burrow 17.4, 1.6 a game between them.

Dak Prescott finished QB6 that year and Joe Burrow QB29.

Dak Prescott had 341 more pass attempts than Joe Burrow, 600 to 259.

Dak Prescott had 2743 more passing yards than Joe Burrow, 4552 to 1809.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Dak Prescott is off in Week 14 and Joe Burrow in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Dak Prescott for Joe Burrow?

    Not on these numbers alone. Dak Prescott projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.2 a game over 10 games) and Joe Burrow 189 (17.2 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott.

  • Should I drop Joe Burrow for Dak Prescott?

    Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 189 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 11 games) and Dak Prescott 182 (18.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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