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Start Tyler Shough or Dak Prescott? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Tyler Shough over Dak Prescott

Books imply
19.2
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 2
Books imply
18.8
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Tyler Shough over Dak Prescott in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Tyler Shough at 19.2 points and Dak Prescott at 18.8, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 19.2 fantasy points for Tyler Shough, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Tyler Shough at 251.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 14.5 rushing yards, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (14, 17, 12 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 18.8 fantasy points for Dak Prescott, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Dak Prescott at 264.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 12.5 rushing yards, with a 13% chance to score a touchdown (15, 17, 15 and 14 books).

That puts Tyler Shough 0.5 points ahead of Dak Prescott on the books.

Injury status

Tyler Shough is not on the injury report.

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Tyler Shough played 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 101 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Tyler Shough, Week 1 against DET: 90 of 90 snaps, 35 of 55 passes for 410 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 4 carries for 8 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 2 against BAL: 68 of 68 snaps, 27 of 34 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 24 yards.

Through Week 2, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 72 times and threw an average of 8.5 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 1 against NYG: 58 of 58 snaps, 22 of 34 passes for 175 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 2 against WAS: 55 of 55 snaps, 26 of 31 passes for 279 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 26 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Shough played 11 games for NO and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He completed 221 of 327 passes for 2384 yards, 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Shough, Week 18 of 2025 against ATL: 23 of 35 passes for 259 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 34 yards, 22.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dak Prescott, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 7 of 11 passes for 70 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for -1 yards, 0.7 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB7 · NO · bye 8

2025 vs pass td line 3-7

Overall rank
70
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

QB8 · DAL · bye 14

2025 vs anytime td line 2-15

Overall rank
73
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board3
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board