Start Jalen Hurts or Tyler Shough? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Jalen Hurts over Tyler Shough in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Jalen Hurts at 20.2 points and Tyler Shough at 19.2, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 20.2 fantasy points for Jalen Hurts, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Jalen Hurts at 217.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 24.5 rushing yards, with a 39% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 14 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 19.2 fantasy points for Tyler Shough, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Tyler Shough at 252.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 14.5 rushing yards, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (14, 17, 12 and 15 books).

That puts Jalen Hurts 1.0 points ahead of Tyler Shough on the books.

Injury status

Jalen Hurts is not on the injury report.

Tyler Shough is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Jalen Hurts played 100 percent of PHI snaps, dropped back 75 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.

Jalen Hurts, Week 1 against WAS: 55 of 55 snaps, 14 of 25 passes for 203 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 48 yards.

Jalen Hurts, Week 2 against TEN: 76 of 76 snaps, 26 of 37 passes for 264 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 5 carries for 16 yards.

Through Week 2, Tyler Shough played 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 101 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Tyler Shough, Week 1 against DET: 90 of 90 snaps, 35 of 55 passes for 410 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 4 carries for 8 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 2 against BAL: 68 of 68 snaps, 27 of 34 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 24 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jalen Hurts played 16 games for PHI and scored 305.1 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB8.

He completed 294 of 454 passes for 3224 yards, 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 105 times for 421 yards and 8 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Hurts, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 54 of 54 snaps, 13 of 27 passes for 110 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 5 yards, 8.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Tyler Shough played 11 games for NO and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He completed 221 of 327 passes for 2384 yards, 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Shough, Week 18 of 2025 against ATL: 23 of 35 passes for 259 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 34 yards, 22.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Jalen Hurts over Brock Purdy.
• Start Jalen Hurts over Jared Goff.
• Start Josh Allen over Jalen Hurts.
• Start Brock Purdy over Tyler Shough.
• Start Tyler Shough over Dak Prescott.
• Start Tyler Shough over Drake Maye.