Start Tyler Shough or Brock Purdy? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Brock Purdy over Tyler Shough in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Brock Purdy at 19.5 points and Tyler Shough at 19.2, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 19.5 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Brock Purdy at 237.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16 and 14 books).

Player prop markets imply 19.2 fantasy points for Tyler Shough, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Tyler Shough at 251.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 14.5 rushing yards, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (14, 17, 12 and 15 books).

That puts Brock Purdy 0.3 points ahead of Tyler Shough on the books.

Injury status

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Tyler Shough is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Brock Purdy played 93 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 61 times and threw an average of 5.9 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 1 against LAR: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 205 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 2 against MIA: 44 of 52 snaps, 20 of 22 passes for 287 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 30 yards.

Through Week 2, Tyler Shough played 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 101 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Tyler Shough, Week 1 against DET: 90 of 90 snaps, 35 of 55 passes for 410 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 4 carries for 8 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 2 against BAL: 68 of 68 snaps, 27 of 34 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 24 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brock Purdy, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 42 of 42 snaps, 19 of 27 passes for 127 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 21 yards, 6.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Tyler Shough played 11 games for NO and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He completed 221 of 327 passes for 2384 yards, 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Shough, Week 18 of 2025 against ATL: 23 of 35 passes for 259 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 34 yards, 22.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Brock Purdy over Dak Prescott.
• Start Jalen Hurts over Brock Purdy.
• Start Brock Purdy over Jared Goff.
• Start Tyler Shough over Dak Prescott.
• Start Tyler Shough over Drake Maye.
• Start Jalen Hurts over Tyler Shough.