Start Juwan Johnson or Dalton Kincaid? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Juwan Johnson over Dalton Kincaid in Week 1.

Juwan Johnson is priced by the books at 4.3 projected points. Dalton Kincaid has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Juwan Johnson at ADP 161 and Dalton Kincaid at 150. Market coverage on Juwan Johnson is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Dalton Kincaid in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 4.3 fantasy points for Juwan Johnson, with 40 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit HOU.

HOU allowed 19.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 137 yards and no touchdowns against HOU.

Juwan Johnson and NO visit DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DET allowed 27.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 87 yards and 2 touchdowns against DET.

By points allowed to the position, Juwan Johnson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dalton Kincaid was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Juwan Johnson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 18 of 2025 against NYJ: 3 targets and 3 catches for 48 yards, 7.8 PPR points.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 16 of 2025 against CLE: 19 of 50 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 15 of 2025 against NE: 25 of 70 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 34 yards, 6.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Juwan Johnson played 17 games for NO and scored 179.9 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing TE8.

He caught 77 of 102 targets for 889 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 527 air yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Juwan Johnson, Week 18 of 2025 against ATL: 5 targets and 3 catches for 61 yards, 7.1 PPR points.

Juwan Johnson, Week 17 of 2025 against TEN: 39 of 54 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 95 yards, 13.5 PPR points.

Juwan Johnson, Week 16 of 2025 against NYJ: 51 of 78 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 89 yards, 16.9 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Juwan Johnson scored 14.4 PPR points and Dalton Kincaid scored 18.0.

The call was wrong: Dalton Kincaid outscored Juwan Johnson by 3.6.

Juwan Johnson finished 10.2 points above the 4.3 the props implied.

Juwan Johnson, Week 1 against DET: 76 of 90 snaps, 7 targets and 3 catches for 54 yards, 1 touchdown, 14.4 PPR points.

Juwan Johnson finished as the week's TE7 in PPR scoring.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 1 against HOU: 42 of 58 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 130 yards, 18.0 PPR points.

Dalton Kincaid finished as the week's TE5 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Dalton Kincaid over Brenton Strange.
• Start Dallas Goedert over Dalton Kincaid.
• Start Dalton Kincaid over Hunter Henry.
• Start Juwan Johnson over Brenton Strange.
• Start Juwan Johnson over Hunter Henry.
• Start Isaiah Likely over Juwan Johnson.