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Start Mark Andrews or Dalton Kincaid? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Dalton Kincaid over Mark Andrews

Right: 18.0 to 8.9
Start

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · at HOU

HOU D vs TE
19.7
6th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
72%
Week 1
Target share
21%
Week 1
Scored
18.0
PPR pts
Sit

Mark Andrews

TE · BAL · at IND

Books imply
2.5
fantasy pts
IND D vs TE
12.6
16th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
72%
Week 1
Target share
25%
Week 1
Scored
8.9
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Dalton Kincaid over Mark Andrews in Week 1.

Mark Andrews is priced by the books at 2.5 projected points and Dalton Kincaid is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Dalton Kincaid at ADP 134 and Mark Andrews at 136.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Dalton Kincaid in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 2.6 fantasy points for Mark Andrews, with 33 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit HOU.

HOU allowed 19.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 137 yards and no touchdowns against HOU.

Mark Andrews and BAL visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 12.6 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 16th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 66 yards and no touchdowns against IND.

By points allowed to the position, Dalton Kincaid has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dalton Kincaid was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Mark Andrews was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 18 of 2025 against NYJ: 3 targets and 3 catches for 48 yards, 7.8 PPR points.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 16 of 2025 against CLE: 19 of 50 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 15 of 2025 against NE: 25 of 70 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 34 yards, 6.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Mark Andrews played 17 games for BAL and scored 131.0 PPR points, 7.7 a game, finishing TE16.

He caught 48 of 70 targets for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 321 air yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Mark Andrews, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 3 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards, 3.4 PPR points.

Mark Andrews, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 31 of 76 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 28 yards, 6.8 PPR points.

Mark Andrews, Week 16 of 2025 against NE: 24 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 21 yards, 4.4 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Dalton Kincaid scored 18.0 PPR points and Mark Andrews scored 8.9.

The call was right: Dalton Kincaid outscored Mark Andrews by 9.1.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 1 against HOU: 42 of 58 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 130 yards, 18.0 PPR points.

Dalton Kincaid finished as the week's TE5 in PPR scoring.

Mark Andrews finished 6.4 points above the 2.6 the props implied.

Mark Andrews, Week 1 against IND: 49 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 49 yards, 8.9 PPR points.

Mark Andrews finished as the week's TE20 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE9 · BAL · bye 13

2025 vs rec yds line 3-14

Overall rank
120
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

Ranked behind

TE24 · BUF · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 5-7

Overall rank
214
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board94
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 3 and tier 7
  • Board size244 draftable players

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