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Start Mark Andrews or Dalton Kincaid? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Mark Andrews over Dalton Kincaid

Start

Mark Andrews

TE · BAL · vs NO

Books imply
12.7
fantasy pts
NO D vs TE
11.3
13th fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
72%
Through Week 1
Target share
25%
Through Week 1
Sit

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · vs DET

Books imply
11.0
fantasy pts
DET D vs TE
27.7
2nd most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
72%
Through Week 1
Target share
21%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Mark Andrews over Dalton Kincaid in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Mark Andrews at 12.7 points and Dalton Kincaid at 11.0, a gap of 1.7. Mark Andrews's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Mark Andrews at ADP 133 and Dalton Kincaid at 131. Market coverage on Mark Andrews is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 11.0 fantasy points for Dalton Kincaid, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 12.7 fantasy points for Mark Andrews, with 70 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

That puts Mark Andrews 1.7 points ahead of Dalton Kincaid on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Dalton Kincaid and BUF host DET on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

DET allowed 27.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 87 yards and 2 touchdowns against DET.

Mark Andrews and BAL host NO on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NO allowed 11.3 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 13th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 53 yards and no touchdowns against NO.

By points allowed to the position, Dalton Kincaid has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Mark Andrews is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Dalton Kincaid played 72 percent of BUF snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 26 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 1 against HOU: 42 of 58 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 130 yards.

Through Week 1, Mark Andrews played 72 percent of BAL snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 16 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Mark Andrews, Week 1 against IND: 49 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 49 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 18 of 2025 against NYJ: 3 targets and 3 catches for 48 yards, 7.8 PPR points.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 16 of 2025 against CLE: 19 of 50 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

In 2025, Mark Andrews played 17 games for BAL and scored 131.0 PPR points, 7.7 a game, finishing TE16.

He caught 48 of 70 targets for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 321 air yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Mark Andrews, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 3 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards, 3.4 PPR points.

Mark Andrews, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 31 of 76 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 28 yards, 6.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE9 · BAL · bye 13

2025 vs rec yds line 3-14

Overall rank
121
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

Ranked behind

TE24 · BUF · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 5-7

Overall rank
214
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board93
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 3 and tier 7
  • Board size244 draftable players

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