Start Mark Andrews or Jake Ferguson? Week 2
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Mark Andrews over Jake Ferguson

- Books imply
- 12.7
- fantasy pts
- NO D vs TE
- 11.3
- 13th fewest to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 72%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 25%
- Through Week 1

- Books imply
- 7.6
- fantasy pts
- WAS D vs TE
- 23.7
- 5th most to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 76%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 7%
- Through Week 1
Our Week 2 call
Start Mark Andrews over Jake Ferguson in Week 2.
De-vigged player props project Mark Andrews at 12.7 points and Jake Ferguson at 7.6, a gap of 5.1. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Mark Andrews at ADP 133 and Jake Ferguson at 136. Market coverage on Mark Andrews is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 12.7 fantasy points for Mark Andrews, with 70 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 7.6 fantasy points for Jake Ferguson, with 70 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
That puts Mark Andrews 5.1 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on the books.
Week 2 matchups
Mark Andrews and BAL host NO on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NO allowed 11.3 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 13th fewest in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 53 yards and no touchdowns against NO.
Jake Ferguson and DAL host WAS on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
WAS allowed 23.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns against WAS.
By points allowed to the position, Jake Ferguson has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Mark Andrews is not on the injury report.
Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 2
Through Week 1, Mark Andrews played 72 percent of BAL snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 16 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.
Mark Andrews, Week 1 against IND: 49 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 49 yards.
Through Week 1, Jake Ferguson played 76 percent of DAL snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 2 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.
Jake Ferguson, Week 1 against NYG: 44 of 58 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Mark Andrews played 17 games for BAL and scored 131.0 PPR points, 7.7 a game, finishing TE16.
He caught 48 of 70 targets for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 321 air yards.
He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Mark Andrews, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 3 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards, 3.4 PPR points.
Mark Andrews, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 31 of 76 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 28 yards, 6.8 PPR points.
In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.
He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.
He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Jake Ferguson, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 2 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards, 1.5 PPR points.
Jake Ferguson, Week 17 of 2025 against WAS: 27 of 92 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 7.6 PPR points.
Their other Week 2 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
TE9 · BAL · bye 13
2025 vs rec yds line 3-14
- Overall rank
- 121
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
Ranked behind
TE13 · DAL · bye 14
2025 vs rec yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 142
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board21
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 3 and tier 4
- Board size244 draftable players
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