Start Jake Ferguson or Dalton Kincaid? Week 2

Our Week 2 call

Start Dalton Kincaid over Jake Ferguson in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Dalton Kincaid at 11.0 points and Jake Ferguson at 7.6, a gap of 3.5. Jake Ferguson's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Dalton Kincaid at ADP 131 and Jake Ferguson at 136.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 11.0 fantasy points for Dalton Kincaid, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 7.6 fantasy points for Jake Ferguson, with 70 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

That puts Dalton Kincaid 3.5 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Dalton Kincaid and BUF host DET on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

DET allowed 27.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 87 yards and 2 touchdowns against DET.

Jake Ferguson and DAL host WAS on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

WAS allowed 23.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns against WAS.

By points allowed to the position, Dalton Kincaid has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Dalton Kincaid played 72 percent of BUF snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 26 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 1 against HOU: 42 of 58 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 130 yards.

Through Week 1, Jake Ferguson played 76 percent of DAL snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 2 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Jake Ferguson, Week 1 against NYG: 44 of 58 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 18 of 2025 against NYJ: 3 targets and 3 catches for 48 yards, 7.8 PPR points.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 16 of 2025 against CLE: 19 of 50 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 2 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards, 1.5 PPR points.

Jake Ferguson, Week 17 of 2025 against WAS: 27 of 92 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 7.6 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

• Start Dalton Kincaid over Dallas Goedert.
• Start Isaiah Likely over Dalton Kincaid.
• Start Mark Andrews over Dalton Kincaid.
• Start Dallas Goedert over Jake Ferguson.
• Start Isaiah Likely over Jake Ferguson.
• Start Mark Andrews over Jake Ferguson.