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Start Malik Willis or Daniel Jones? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Daniel Jones over Malik Willis

Wrong: 10.0 to 17.7

Corrected Sep 15: regraded against official Sleeper stats (was Right, now Wrong)

Start

Daniel Jones

QB · IND · vs BAL

Books imply
9.3
fantasy pts
BAL D vs QB
10.0
5th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Week 1
Scored
10.0
PPR pts
Sit

Malik Willis

QB · MIA · at LV

LV D vs QB
17.7
13th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Week 1
Scored
17.7
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Daniel Jones over Malik Willis in Week 1.

Daniel Jones is priced by the books at 9.3 projected points. Malik Willis has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Daniel Jones at ADP 175 and Malik Willis at 173. Market coverage on Daniel Jones is 45 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Malik Willis in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 9.3 fantasy points for Daniel Jones, with 45 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Malik Willis and MIA visit LV.

LV allowed 17.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and no touchdowns against LV, with an interception.

Daniel Jones and IND host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 10.0 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 5th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 166 yards and a touchdown against BAL, with an interception.

By points allowed to the position, Malik Willis has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Malik Willis was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Daniel Jones was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Malik Willis played 4 games for GB and scored 51.2 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing QB45.

He completed 30 of 35 passes for 422 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 22 times for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Malik Willis, Week 17 of 2025 against BAL: 39 of 47 snaps, 18 of 21 passes for 288 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 9 carries for 60 yards, 31.5 PPR points.

Malik Willis, Week 16 of 2025 against CHI: 46 of 72 snaps, 9 of 11 passes for 121 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 44 yards, 13.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Daniel Jones played 13 games for IND and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He completed 261 of 384 passes for 3101 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 1 went

Daniel Jones scored 10.0 PPR points and Malik Willis scored 17.7.

The call was wrong: Malik Willis outscored Daniel Jones by 7.7.

Daniel Jones finished 0.8 points above the 9.3 the props implied.

Daniel Jones, Week 1 against BAL: 54 of 54 snaps, 19 of 31 passes for 166 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards, 10.0 PPR points.

Daniel Jones finished as the week's QB28 in PPR scoring.

Malik Willis, Week 1 against LV: 56 of 56 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 220 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 6 carries for 39 yards, 17.7 PPR points.

Malik Willis finished as the week's QB13 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB3 · MIA · bye 6

2025 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
17
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB5 · IND · bye 13

2025 vs pass yds line 6-7

Overall rank
20
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board3
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 1
  • Board size244 draftable players

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