Start Malik Nabers or Garrett Wilson? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Garrett Wilson over Malik Nabers
Right: 13.9 to 12.9
- Books imply
- 8.3
- fantasy pts
- TEN D vs WR
- 28.6
- 16th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 75%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 30%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 13.9
- PPR pts
- DAL D vs WR
- 22.1
- 7th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 52%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 31%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 12.9
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Garrett Wilson over Malik Nabers in Week 1.
Garrett Wilson is priced by the books at 8.3 projected points. Malik Nabers has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Garrett Wilson at ADP 26 and Malik Nabers at 28. Market coverage on Garrett Wilson is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 8.3 fantasy points for Garrett Wilson, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Malik Nabers in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Garrett Wilson and NYJ visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
TEN allowed 28.6 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 16th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and no touchdowns against TEN.
Malik Nabers and NYG host DAL.
DAL allowed 22.1 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 7th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 121 yards and no touchdowns against DAL.
By points allowed to the position, Garrett Wilson has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Garrett Wilson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Malik Nabers was listed as questionable when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Garrett Wilson played 7 games for NYJ and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.
He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 291 air yards.
He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Malik Nabers played 4 games for NYG and scored 57.1 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR101.
He caught 18 of 35 targets for 271 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets and 219 air yards.
He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Garrett Wilson scored 13.9 PPR points and Malik Nabers scored 12.9.
The call was right: Garrett Wilson outscored Malik Nabers by 1.0.
Garrett Wilson finished 5.6 points above the 8.3 the props implied.
Garrett Wilson, Week 1 against TEN: 50 of 67 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 79 yards, 13.9 PPR points.
Garrett Wilson finished as the week's WR23 in PPR scoring.
Malik Nabers, Week 1 against DAL: 36 of 69 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 69 yards, 12.9 PPR points.
Malik Nabers finished as the week's WR26 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR11 · NYG · bye 8
2025 vs rec yds line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 70
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR23 · NYJ · bye 13
2025 vs rec yds line 4-3
- Overall rank
- 86
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board16
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 5
- Board size244 draftable players
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