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Start Isaiah Davis or Seth McGowan? Week 5

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Isaiah Davis over Seth McGowan

Wrong: 2.7 to 2.9
Start

Isaiah Davis

RB · final

Market projected
3.0
pre-game
Snap share
6%
Through Week 4
Target share
0%
Through Week 4
Scored
2.7
PPR pts
Sit

Seth McGowan

RB · final

Market projected
2.3
pre-game
Snap share
16%
Through Week 4
Target share
2%
Through Week 4
Scored
2.9
PPR pts

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Our Week 5 call

Start Isaiah Davis over Seth McGowan in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Isaiah Davis at 3.0 points and Seth McGowan at 2.3, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 3.0 fantasy points for Isaiah Davis, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Isaiah Davis at 12.5 rushing yards, with a 14% chance to score a touchdown (17 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 2.3 fantasy points for Seth McGowan, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market gives Seth McGowan a 9% chance to score a touchdown (16 market sources).

That puts Isaiah Davis 0.7 points ahead of Seth McGowan on the market projections.

Injury status

Isaiah Davis is not on the injury report.

Seth McGowan is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Isaiah Davis played 6 percent of NYJ snaps, took 0 percent of the carries, drew 0 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Isaiah Davis, Week 4 against CHI: 2 of 32 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 4, Seth McGowan played 16 percent of IND snaps, took 11 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Seth McGowan, Week 1 against BAL: 6 of 54 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 2 against KC: 4 of 65 snaps, 2 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 3 against HOU: 11 of 71 snaps, 4 carries for 14 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 4 against WAS: 19 of 66 snaps, 6 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Isaiah Davis played 16 games for NYJ and scored 71.2 PPR points, 4.5 a game, finishing RB59.

He ran 43 times for 236 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 21 of 28 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 29 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Isaiah Davis, Week 17 of 2025 against NE: 8 of 61 snaps, 3 carries for 11 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 9 yards, 3.0 PPR points.

Isaiah Davis, Week 16 of 2025 against NO: 24 of 66 snaps, 3 carries for 8 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 52 yards, 10.0 PPR points.

How Week 5 went

Isaiah Davis scored 2.7 PPR points and Seth McGowan scored 2.9.

The call was wrong: Seth McGowan outscored Isaiah Davis by 0.2.

Isaiah Davis finished 0.3 points below the 3.0 the market projected.

Isaiah Davis, Week 5 against CLE: 2 carries for 8 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards, 2.7 PPR points.

Isaiah Davis finished as the week's RB38 in PPR scoring.

Seth McGowan finished 0.6 points above the 2.3 the market projected.

Seth McGowan, Week 5 against PIT: 5 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 3 yards, 2.9 PPR points.

Seth McGowan finished as the week's RB37 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB57 · NYJ · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 0-5

Overall rank
216
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
13

Ranked behind

RB60 · IND · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 0-5

Overall rank
228
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
13

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board12
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 13
  • Board size289 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board