Start Justice Hill or Seth McGowan? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Justice Hill over Seth McGowan
- Market projects
- 4.3
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 41%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 6%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 2.3
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 16%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 2%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Justice Hill over Seth McGowan in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Justice Hill at 4.3 points and Seth McGowan at 2.3, a gap of 2.0.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 4.3 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Justice Hill at 11.5 rushing yards, 8.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 12% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16, 16 and 15 market sources).
Player markets imply 2.3 fantasy points for Seth McGowan, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market gives Seth McGowan a 9% chance to score a touchdown (16 market sources).
That puts Justice Hill 2.0 points ahead of Seth McGowan on the market projections.
Injury status
Justice Hill is not on the injury report.
Seth McGowan is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Justice Hill played 41 percent of BAL snaps, took 11 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Justice Hill, Week 1 against IND: 31 of 68 snaps, 6 carries for 18 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards.
Justice Hill, Week 2 against NO: 27 of 58 snaps, 2 carries for 6 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.
Justice Hill, Week 3 against DAL: 21 of 64 snaps, 5 carries for 33 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.
Through Week 4, Seth McGowan played 16 percent of IND snaps, took 11 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.
Seth McGowan, Week 1 against BAL: 6 of 54 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.
Seth McGowan, Week 2 against KC: 4 of 65 snaps, 2 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Seth McGowan, Week 3 against HOU: 11 of 71 snaps, 4 carries for 14 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Seth McGowan, Week 4 against WAS: 19 of 66 snaps, 6 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.
He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.
He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB51 · BAL · bye unlisted
2026 vs rush yds line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 191
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 14
Ranked behind
RB60 · IND · bye unlisted
2026 vs anytime td line 0-4
- Overall rank
- 224
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 15
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board33
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 14 and tier 15
- Board size288 draftable players
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