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Start Xavier Worthy or Isaiah Likely? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Isaiah Likely over Xavier Worthy

Books imply
9.7
fantasy pts
Books imply
9.7
fantasy pts
Snap share
82%
Through Week 2
Target share
19%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Isaiah Likely over Xavier Worthy in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Isaiah Likely at 9.7 points and Xavier Worthy at 9.7, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Isaiah Likely's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Isaiah Likely, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Isaiah Likely at 40.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 23% chance to score a touchdown (17, 13 and 17 books).

Player prop markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Xavier Worthy, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Xavier Worthy at 37.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 34% chance to score a touchdown (11, 12 and 15 books).

That puts Isaiah Likely 0.0 points ahead of Xavier Worthy on the books.

Injury status

Isaiah Likely is not on the injury report.

Xavier Worthy is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Xavier Worthy played 82 percent of KC snaps, drew 19 percent of the targets, earned 21 percent of the air yards and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

Xavier Worthy, Week 1 against DEN: 53 of 69 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards.

Xavier Worthy, Week 2 against IND: 69 of 80 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 25 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Xavier Worthy played 14 games for KC and scored 109.9 PPR points, 7.9 a game, finishing WR59.

He caught 42 of 73 targets for 532 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets and 339 air yards.

He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Xavier Worthy, Week 17 of 2025 against DEN: 34 of 43 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR35 · KC · bye 5

2025 vs rec yds line 5-9

Overall rank
85
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

Ranked behind

TE11 · NYG · bye 8

2025 vs catches line 5-9

Overall rank
86
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board1
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 8 and tier 2
  • Board size222 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board