Start MarShawn Lloyd or Jacory Croskey-Merritt? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start MarShawn Lloyd over Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Wrong: 3.7 to 12.6
- Books imply
- 5.8
- fantasy pts
- MIN D vs RB
- 6.6
- fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 44%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 3%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 3.7
- PPR pts
- PHI D vs RB
- 18.9
- 13th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 49%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 3%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 12.6
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start MarShawn Lloyd over Jacory Croskey-Merritt in Week 1.
MarShawn Lloyd is priced by the books at 5.8 projected points. Jacory Croskey-Merritt has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take MarShawn Lloyd at ADP 113 and Jacory Croskey-Merritt at 115. Market coverage on MarShawn Lloyd is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 5.8 fantasy points for MarShawn Lloyd, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Jacory Croskey-Merritt in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
MarShawn Lloyd and GB visit MIN on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
MIN allowed 6.6 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 66 yards and no touchdowns against MIN and caught passes for 0 more yards.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt and WAS visit PHI.
PHI allowed 18.9 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 13th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 101 yards and a touchdown against PHI and caught passes for -2 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Jacory Croskey-Merritt has the softer matchup.
Injury status
MarShawn Lloyd was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Jacory Croskey-Merritt played 17 games for WAS and scored 140.3 PPR points, 8.3 a game, finishing RB33.
He ran 175 times for 805 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 9 of 13 targets for 68 yards.
He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Week 18 of 2025 against PHI: 13 carries for 29 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.9 PPR points.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Week 17 of 2025 against DAL: 28 of 44 snaps, 11 carries for 105 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns, 22.5 PPR points.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Week 16 of 2025 against PHI: 11 of 54 snaps, 8 carries for 25 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 8.5 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
MarShawn Lloyd scored 3.7 PPR points and Jacory Croskey-Merritt scored 12.6.
The call was wrong: Jacory Croskey-Merritt outscored MarShawn Lloyd by 8.9.
MarShawn Lloyd finished 2.1 points below the 5.8 the props implied.
MarShawn Lloyd, Week 1 against MIN: 30 of 68 snaps, 13 carries for 37 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 3.7 PPR points.
MarShawn Lloyd finished as the week's RB52 in PPR scoring.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Week 1 against PHI: 34 of 70 snaps, 16 carries for 63 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -7 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.6 PPR points.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt finished as the week's RB22 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB16 · GB · bye 11
- Overall rank
- 38
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB32 · WAS · bye 7
2025 vs anytime td line 3-9
- Overall rank
- 77
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board39
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 6
- Board size244 draftable players
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