Start Luther Burden III or Jameson Williams? Week 2
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Jameson Williams over Luther Burden III

- Books imply
- 13.3
- fantasy pts
- BUF D vs WR
- 40.0
- 8th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 84%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 23%
- Through Week 1

- Books imply
- 12.6
- fantasy pts
- MIN D vs WR
- 55.2
- 2nd most to WRs (2026)
Our Week 2 call
Start Jameson Williams over Luther Burden III in Week 2.
De-vigged player props project Jameson Williams at 13.3 points and Luther Burden III at 12.6, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Jameson Williams at ADP 45 and Luther Burden III at 51.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 13.3 fantasy points for Jameson Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 12.6 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
That puts Jameson Williams 0.7 points ahead of Luther Burden III on the books.
Week 2 matchups
Jameson Williams and DET visit BUF on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.
BUF allowed 40.0 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 8th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 193 yards and a touchdown against BUF.
Luther Burden III and CHI host MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
MIN allowed 55.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns against MIN.
By points allowed to the position, Luther Burden III has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Jameson Williams is not on the injury report.
Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 2
Through Week 1, Jameson Williams played 84 percent of DET snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 61 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.
Jameson Williams, Week 1 against NO: 65 of 77 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 45 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Jameson Williams played 17 games for DET and scored 219.9 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR12.
He caught 65 of 102 targets for 1117 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 676 air yards.
He was on the field for 90 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Jameson Williams, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 8 targets and 6 catches for 74 yards, 13.4 PPR points.
Jameson Williams, Week 17 of 2025 against MIN: 53 of 64 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 37 yards, 5.7 PPR points.
In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.
He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.
He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.
Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.
Luther Burden III, Week 15 of 2025 against CLE: 26 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.
Their other Week 2 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR12 · CHI · bye 10
2025 vs anytime td line 2-13
- Overall rank
- 72
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR77 · DET · bye 6
2025 vs rec yds line 9-8
- Overall rank
- 213
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 12
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board141
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 12
- Board size244 draftable players
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