Start Christian Watson or Luther Burden III? Week 2

Our Week 2 call

Start Luther Burden III over Christian Watson in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Luther Burden III at 12.6 points and Christian Watson at 12.1, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Luther Burden III's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Luther Burden III at ADP 51 and Christian Watson at 56.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 12.6 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Christian Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

That puts Luther Burden III 0.5 points ahead of Christian Watson on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Luther Burden III and CHI host MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 55.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns against MIN.

Christian Watson and GB visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 24.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 11th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 94 yards and a touchdown against NYJ.

By points allowed to the position, Luther Burden III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

Christian Watson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Christian Watson played 76 percent of GB snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 27 percent of the air yards and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian Watson, Week 1 against MIN: 52 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 15 of 2025 against CLE: 26 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Christian Watson played 10 games for GB and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 493 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Christian Watson, Week 17 of 2025 against BAL: 29 of 47 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 113 yards, 1 touchdown, 22.3 PPR points.

Christian Watson, Week 16 of 2025 against CHI: 45 of 72 snaps, 6 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards, 3.7 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

• Start DJ Moore over Luther Burden III.
• Start Jameson Williams over Luther Burden III.
• Start Luther Burden III over Mike Evans.
• Start Christian Watson over Chris Godwin Jr..
• Start Christian Watson over Courtland Sutton.
• Start Christian Watson over DJ Moore.