Start Mike Evans or Luther Burden III? Week 2
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Luther Burden III over Mike Evans

- Books imply
- 12.6
- fantasy pts
- MIN D vs WR
- 55.2
- 2nd most to WRs (2026)

- Books imply
- 10.7
- fantasy pts
- MIA D vs WR
- 22.5
- 9th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 75%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 21%
- Through Week 1
Our Week 2 call
Start Luther Burden III over Mike Evans in Week 2.
De-vigged player props project Luther Burden III at 12.6 points and Mike Evans at 10.7, a gap of 2.0. Luther Burden III's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Luther Burden III at ADP 51 and Mike Evans at 55.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 12.6 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 10.7 fantasy points for Mike Evans, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
That puts Luther Burden III 2.0 points ahead of Mike Evans on the books.
Week 2 matchups
Luther Burden III and CHI host MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
MIN allowed 55.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns against MIN.
Mike Evans and SF host MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
MIA allowed 22.5 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 9th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 83 yards and a touchdown against MIA.
By points allowed to the position, Luther Burden III has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.
Mike Evans is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 2
Through Week 1, Mike Evans played 75 percent of SF snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 37 percent of the air yards and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.
Mike Evans, Week 1 against LAR: 49 of 65 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 49 yards, 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.
He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.
He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.
Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.
Luther Burden III, Week 15 of 2025 against CLE: 26 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.
In 2025, Mike Evans played 8 games for TB and scored 84.8 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing WR76.
He caught 30 of 61 targets for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 331 air yards.
He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Mike Evans, Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 50 of 67 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 34 yards, 5.4 PPR points.
Mike Evans, Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 50 of 67 snaps, 7 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.1 PPR points.
Their other Week 2 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR2 · SF · bye 8
2025 vs rec yds line 2-6
- Overall rank
- 7
- Draft pick
- ADP 7
- Tier
- 2
Ranked behind
WR12 · CHI · bye 10
2025 vs anytime td line 2-13
- Overall rank
- 72
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board65
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 2 and tier 5
- Board size244 draftable players
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