Start Josh Downs or Jayden Reed? Week 1
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Jayden Reed over Josh Downs
Final: 5.0 to 5.7
- MIN D vs WR
- 55.2
- 2nd most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 57%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 18%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 5.0
- PPR pts
- BAL D vs WR
- 25.0
- 12th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 89%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 14%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 5.7
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Jayden Reed over Josh Downs in Week 1.
Neither player has a posted player market for this week, so this call is ADP and news based rather than priced against the betting market. Drafters take Jayden Reed at ADP 90 and Josh Downs at 98.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Jayden Reed in Week 1.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Josh Downs in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Jayden Reed and GB visit MIN.
MIN allowed 55.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns against MIN.
Josh Downs and IND host BAL.
BAL allowed 25.0 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and no touchdowns against BAL.
By points allowed to the position, Jayden Reed has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Jayden Reed was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Josh Downs was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Jayden Reed played 7 games for GB and scored 48.5 PPR points, 6.9 a game, finishing WR114.
He caught 19 of 22 targets for 207 yards and 1 touchdown, with 3 red zone targets and 122 air yards.
He was on the field for 45 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Jayden Reed, Week 18 of 2025 against MIN: 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Jayden Reed, Week 17 of 2025 against BAL: 24 of 47 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 41 yards, 8.1 PPR points.
Jayden Reed, Week 16 of 2025 against CHI: 46 of 72 snaps, 1 carry for 6 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.1 PPR points.
In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.
He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.
He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Josh Downs, Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 1 carry for -5 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 61 yards, 9.6 PPR points.
Josh Downs, Week 17 of 2025 against JAX: 35 of 57 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 34 yards, 5.4 PPR points.
Josh Downs, Week 16 of 2025 against SF: 47 of 60 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 9 targets and 5 catches for 65 yards, 11.8 PPR points.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR29 · IND · bye 13
2025 vs anytime td line 4-12
- Overall rank
- 72
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
Ranked behind
WR39 · GB · bye 11
2025 vs anytime td line 1-6
- Overall rank
- 93
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 11
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board21
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 10 and tier 11
- Board size242 draftable players
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