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Start Tetairoa McMillan or Jaylen Waddle? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Jaylen Waddle

Books imply
13.0
fantasy pts
Snap share
81%
Through Week 2
Target share
27%
Through Week 2
Sit

Jaylen Waddle

WR · DEN · vs LAR

Books imply
12.5
fantasy pts
LAR D vs WR
30.4
15th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
67%
Through Week 2
Target share
23%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Jaylen Waddle in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Tetairoa McMillan at 13.0 points and Jaylen Waddle at 12.5, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 13.0 fantasy points for Tetairoa McMillan, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Tetairoa McMillan at 60.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 33% chance to score a touchdown (14, 11 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 12.5 fantasy points for Jaylen Waddle, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Jaylen Waddle at 57.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 31% chance to score a touchdown (12, 13 and 15 books).

That puts Tetairoa McMillan 0.5 points ahead of Jaylen Waddle on the books.

Week 3 matchups

Jaylen Waddle and DEN host LAR on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

LAR allowed 30.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 2 games, the 15th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 113 yards and 1.5 touchdowns a game against LAR.

Injury status

Tetairoa McMillan is not on the injury report.

Jaylen Waddle is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Tetairoa McMillan played 81 percent of CAR snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 37 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 1 against CHI: 56 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 75 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 2 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 101 yards.

Through Week 2, Jaylen Waddle played 67 percent of DEN snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 46 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 1 against KC: 38 of 51 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 2 against JAX: 38 of 62 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 45 of 51 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 85 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Jaylen Waddle played 16 games for MIA and scored 194.1 PPR points, 12.1 a game, finishing WR24.

He caught 64 of 100 targets for 910 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 682 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 17 of 2025 against TB: 14 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.7 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR16 · CAR · bye 5

2025 vs rec yds line 7-10

Overall rank
41
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

Ranked behind

WR17 · DEN · bye 10

2025 vs rec yds line 6-10

Overall rank
43
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
9

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board2
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 8 and tier 9
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board