Start J.K. Dobbins or Tony Pollard? Week 1
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Tony Pollard over J.K. Dobbins
Right: 4.4 to 3.6
- Books implied
- 10.5
- pre-game
- NYJ D vs RB
- 8.8
- 2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 52%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 7%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 4.4
- PPR pts
- KC D vs RB
- 11.7
- 7th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 43%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 0%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 3.6
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Tony Pollard over J.K. Dobbins in Week 1.
Tony Pollard is priced by the books at 10.5 projected points. J.K. Dobbins has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Tony Pollard at ADP 70 and J.K. Dobbins at 82.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 10.5 fantasy points for Tony Pollard, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for J.K. Dobbins in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Tony Pollard and TEN host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NYJ allowed 8.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 2nd fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 47 yards and no touchdowns against NYJ and caught passes for 11 more yards.
J.K. Dobbins and DEN visit KC.
KC allowed 11.7 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 7th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 54 yards and no touchdowns against KC and caught passes for 23 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, J.K. Dobbins has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Tony Pollard was not on the injury report when the call was made.
J.K. Dobbins was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Tony Pollard played 17 games for TEN and scored 185.8 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing RB23.
He ran 242 times for 1082 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 41 targets for 206 yards.
He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Tony Pollard, Week 18 of 2025 against JAX: 14 carries for 48 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards, 9.5 PPR points.
Tony Pollard, Week 17 of 2025 against NO: 37 of 74 snaps, 18 carries for 85 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards, 11.5 PPR points.
Tony Pollard, Week 16 of 2025 against KC: 40 of 73 snaps, 21 carries for 102 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 10.2 PPR points.
In 2025, J.K. Dobbins played 10 games for DEN and scored 115.9 PPR points, 11.6 a game, finishing RB43.
He ran 153 times for 772 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 11 of 14 targets for 37 yards.
He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Tony Pollard scored 4.4 PPR points and J.K. Dobbins scored 3.6.
The call was right: Tony Pollard outscored J.K. Dobbins by 0.8.
Tony Pollard finished 6.1 points below the 10.5 the props implied.
Tony Pollard, Week 1 against NYJ: 26 of 50 snaps, 7 carries for 35 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for -1 yards, 4.4 PPR points.
Tony Pollard finished as the week's RB44 in PPR scoring.
J.K. Dobbins, Week 1 against KC: 22 of 51 snaps, 8 carries for 36 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 3.6 PPR points.
J.K. Dobbins finished as the week's RB53 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB24 · DEN · bye 10
2025 vs rush yds line 8-2
- Overall rank
- 66
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 8
Ranked behind
RB31 · TEN · bye 9
2025 vs rush yds line 8-9
- Overall rank
- 105
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 8
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board39
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 8
- Board size242 draftable players
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