Start Matthew Golden or Khalil Shakir? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Matthew Golden over Khalil Shakir
Right: 15.5 to 9.0
- Books imply
- 6.9
- fantasy pts
- MIN D vs WR
- 55.2
- 2nd most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 82%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 30%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 15.5
- PPR pts

- HOU D vs WR
- 41.5
- 6th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 53%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 21%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 9.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Matthew Golden over Khalil Shakir in Week 1.
Matthew Golden is priced by the books at 6.9 projected points. Khalil Shakir has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Matthew Golden at ADP 104 and Khalil Shakir at 98. Market coverage on Matthew Golden is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Khalil Shakir in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 6.9 fantasy points for Matthew Golden, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Khalil Shakir and BUF visit HOU.
HOU allowed 41.5 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 185 yards and 2 touchdowns against HOU.
Matthew Golden and GB visit MIN on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
MIN allowed 55.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns against MIN.
By points allowed to the position, Matthew Golden has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Khalil Shakir was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Matthew Golden was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Khalil Shakir played 16 games for BUF and scored 166.4 PPR points, 10.4 a game, finishing WR36.
He caught 72 of 95 targets for 719 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 178 air yards.
He was on the field for 60 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Khalil Shakir, Week 17 of 2025 against PHI: 59 of 76 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 35 yards, 9.5 PPR points.
Khalil Shakir, Week 16 of 2025 against CLE: 24 of 50 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 34 yards, 7.4 PPR points.
Khalil Shakir, Week 15 of 2025 against NE: 48 of 70 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 65 yards, 11.5 PPR points.
In 2025, Matthew Golden played 14 games for GB and scored 70.0 PPR points, 5.0 a game, finishing WR89.
He caught 29 of 44 targets for 361 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 260 air yards.
He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Matthew Golden, Week 18 of 2025 against MIN: 3 targets and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.
Matthew Golden, Week 17 of 2025 against BAL: 25 of 47 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards, 2.2 PPR points.
Matthew Golden, Week 16 of 2025 against CHI: 22 of 72 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.4 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Matthew Golden scored 15.5 PPR points and Khalil Shakir scored 9.0.
The call was right: Matthew Golden outscored Khalil Shakir by 6.5.
Matthew Golden finished 8.6 points above the 6.9 the props implied.
Matthew Golden, Week 1 against MIN: 56 of 68 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 95 yards, 15.5 PPR points.
Matthew Golden finished as the week's WR17 in PPR scoring.
Khalil Shakir, Week 1 against HOU: 31 of 58 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 50 yards, 9.0 PPR points.
Khalil Shakir finished as the week's WR41 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR21 · GB · bye 11
2025 vs rec yds line 5-9
- Overall rank
- 84
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR76 · BUF · bye 7
2025 vs rec yds line 9-7
- Overall rank
- 206
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 11
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board122
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 11
- Board size244 draftable players
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