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Start Tucker Kraft or Kyle Pitts Sr.? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over Tucker Kraft

Wrong: 0.0 to 9.5
Start

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TE · ATL · at PIT

Books imply
5.2
fantasy pts
PIT D vs TE
0.0
fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
63%
Week 1
Target share
5%
Week 1
Scored
0.0
PPR pts
Sit

Tucker Kraft

TE · GB · at MIN

Books imply
2.1
fantasy pts
MIN D vs TE
16.5
10th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
66%
Week 1
Target share
15%
Week 1
Scored
9.5
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over Tucker Kraft in Week 1.

De-vigged player props project Kyle Pitts Sr. at 5.2 points and Tucker Kraft at 2.1, a gap of 3.0. Drafters take Kyle Pitts Sr. at ADP 84 and Tucker Kraft at 110. Market coverage on Kyle Pitts Sr. is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 5.2 fantasy points for Kyle Pitts Sr., with 70 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 2.1 fantasy points for Tucker Kraft, with 33 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

That puts Kyle Pitts Sr. 3.0 points ahead of Tucker Kraft on the books.

Week 1 matchups

Kyle Pitts Sr. and ATL visit PIT on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

PIT allowed 0.0 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 0 yards and no touchdowns against PIT.

Tucker Kraft and GB visit MIN on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIN allowed 16.5 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 10th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 115 yards and no touchdowns against MIN.

By points allowed to the position, Tucker Kraft has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Kyle Pitts Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Tucker Kraft was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kyle Pitts Sr. played 17 games for ATL and scored 210.8 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing TE2.

He caught 88 of 118 targets for 928 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 528 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 18 of 2025 against NO: 9 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against LAR: 49 of 53 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 3.6 PPR points.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against ARI: 67 of 77 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.7 PPR points.

In 2025, Tucker Kraft played 8 games for GB and scored 117.2 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing TE24.

He caught 32 of 44 targets for 489 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 145 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 1 went

Kyle Pitts Sr. scored 0.0 PPR points and Tucker Kraft scored 9.5.

The call was wrong: Tucker Kraft outscored Kyle Pitts Sr. by 9.5.

Kyle Pitts Sr. finished 5.2 points below the 5.2 the props implied.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 1 against PIT: 38 of 60 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Tucker Kraft finished 7.4 points above the 2.1 the props implied.

Tucker Kraft, Week 1 against MIN: 45 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 65 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

Tucker Kraft finished as the week's TE18 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE4 · GB · bye 11

2025 vs catches line 4-4

Overall rank
88
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

Ranked behind

TE6 · ATL · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 7-10

Overall rank
103
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board15
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 3
  • Board size244 draftable players

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