Start Xavier Hutchinson or Kyle Williams? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Xavier Hutchinson over Kyle Williams in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Xavier Hutchinson at 3.7 points and Kyle Williams at 3.7, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 3.7 fantasy points for Xavier Hutchinson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Xavier Hutchinson at 14.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 12% chance to score a touchdown (15, 14 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.7 fantasy points for Kyle Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Kyle Williams at 13.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 13% chance to score a touchdown (10, 10 and 15 market sources).

That puts Xavier Hutchinson 0.0 points ahead of Kyle Williams on the market projections.

Injury status

Xavier Hutchinson is not on the injury report.

Kyle Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Xavier Hutchinson played 58 percent of HOU snaps, drew 19 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 1 against BUF: 44 of 79 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 32 yards.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 2 against CIN: 65 of 80 snaps, 9 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 3 against IND: 29 of 54 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 51 yards.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 4 against DAL: 17 of 55 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 46 yards.

Through Week 4, Kyle Williams played 24 percent of NE snaps, drew 6 percent of the targets, earned 8 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Kyle Williams, Week 1 against SEA: 12 of 71 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kyle Williams, Week 2 against PIT: 11 of 55 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Kyle Williams, Week 3 against JAX: 22 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 34 yards.

Kyle Williams, Week 4 against BUF: 19 of 76 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Xavier Hutchinson played 17 games for HOU and scored 98.0 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR64.

He caught 35 of 57 targets for 428 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 282 air yards.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyle Williams played 17 games for NE and scored 49.2 PPR points, 2.9 a game, finishing WR112.

He caught 10 of 21 targets for 209 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 0 red zone targets and 130 air yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 5 went

Xavier Hutchinson scored 10.5 PPR points and Kyle Williams scored 18.1.

The call was wrong: Kyle Williams outscored Xavier Hutchinson by 7.6.

Xavier Hutchinson finished 6.8 points above the 3.7 the market projected.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 5 against TEN: 5 targets and 4 catches for 65 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

Xavier Hutchinson finished as the week's WR29 in PPR scoring.

Kyle Williams finished 14.4 points above the 3.7 the market projected.

Kyle Williams, Week 5 against LV: 3 targets and 3 catches for 91 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.1 PPR points.

Kyle Williams finished as the week's WR13 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Xavier Hutchinson.
• Start Cody White over Xavier Hutchinson.
• Start Darnell Mooney over Xavier Hutchinson.
• Start Darnell Mooney over Kyle Williams.
• Start Derius Davis over Kyle Williams.
• Start Kyle Williams over Devontez Walker.