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Start Mark Andrews or Travis Kelce? Week 1

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Travis Kelce over Mark Andrews

Right: 10.1 to 8.9
Start

Travis Kelce

TE · KC · vs DEN · final

Books implied
2.2
pre-game
DEN D vs TE
13.5
14th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
71%
Week 1
Target share
20%
Week 1
Scored
10.1
PPR pts
Sit

Mark Andrews

TE · BAL · at IND · final

Books implied
2.5
pre-game
IND D vs TE
12.6
16th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
72%
Week 1
Target share
25%
Week 1
Scored
8.9
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Travis Kelce over Mark Andrews in Week 1.

De-vigged player props project Travis Kelce at 2.2 points and Mark Andrews at 2.5, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Travis Kelce at ADP 127 and Mark Andrews at 136. Market coverage on Travis Kelce is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 2.2 fantasy points for Travis Kelce, with 33 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 2.6 fantasy points for Mark Andrews, with 33 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

That puts Mark Andrews 0.3 points ahead of Travis Kelce on the books.

Week 1 matchups

Travis Kelce and KC host DEN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

DEN allowed 13.5 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 14th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 85 yards and no touchdowns against DEN.

Mark Andrews and BAL visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 12.6 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 16th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 66 yards and no touchdowns against IND.

By points allowed to the position, Travis Kelce has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Travis Kelce was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Mark Andrews was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Travis Kelce played 17 games for KC and scored 193.2 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing TE3.

He caught 76 of 108 targets for 851 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 428 air yards.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Travis Kelce, Week 18 of 2025 against LV: 6 targets and 3 catches for 12 yards, 4.2 PPR points.

Travis Kelce, Week 17 of 2025 against DEN: 42 of 43 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 36 yards, 8.6 PPR points.

Travis Kelce, Week 16 of 2025 against TEN: 35 of 45 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1.6 PPR points.

In 2025, Mark Andrews played 17 games for BAL and scored 131.0 PPR points, 7.7 a game, finishing TE16.

He caught 48 of 70 targets for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 321 air yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Mark Andrews, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 3 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards, 3.4 PPR points.

Mark Andrews, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 31 of 76 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 28 yards, 6.8 PPR points.

Mark Andrews, Week 16 of 2025 against NE: 24 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 21 yards, 4.4 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Travis Kelce scored 10.1 PPR points and Mark Andrews scored 8.9.

The call was right: Travis Kelce outscored Mark Andrews by 1.2.

Travis Kelce finished 7.9 points above the 2.2 the props implied.

Travis Kelce, Week 1 against DEN: 49 of 69 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 71 yards, 10.1 PPR points.

Travis Kelce finished as the week's TE16 in PPR scoring.

Mark Andrews finished 6.4 points above the 2.6 the props implied.

Mark Andrews, Week 1 against IND: 49 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 49 yards, 8.9 PPR points.

Mark Andrews finished as the week's TE20 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE2 · BAL · bye 13

2025 vs rec yds line 3-14

Overall rank
37
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

Ranked behind

TE8 · KC · bye 5

2025 vs rec yds line 7-10

Overall rank
71
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board34
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 2 and tier 3
  • Board size242 draftable players

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