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Start Stefon Diggs or Quentin Johnston? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Stefon Diggs over Quentin Johnston

Right: 15.5 to 3.7
Start

Stefon Diggs

WR · WAS · at PHI

Books imply
4.2
fantasy pts
PHI D vs WR
36.7
11th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
63%
Week 1
Target share
31%
Week 1
Scored
15.5
PPR pts
Sit

Quentin Johnston

WR · LAC · vs ARI

ARI D vs WR
27.9
16th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
78%
Week 1
Target share
22%
Week 1
Scored
3.7
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Stefon Diggs over Quentin Johnston in Week 1.

Stefon Diggs is priced by the books at 4.2 projected points. Quentin Johnston has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Stefon Diggs at ADP 101 and Quentin Johnston at 94. Market coverage on Stefon Diggs is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Quentin Johnston in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 4.2 fantasy points for Stefon Diggs, with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Quentin Johnston and LAC host ARI.

ARI allowed 27.9 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 16th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 119 yards and a touchdown against ARI.

Stefon Diggs and WAS visit PHI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

PHI allowed 36.7 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 11th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 137 yards and 2 touchdowns against PHI.

By points allowed to the position, Stefon Diggs has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Quentin Johnston was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Stefon Diggs was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Quentin Johnston played 14 games for LAC and scored 171.2 PPR points, 12.2 a game, finishing WR34.

He caught 51 of 85 targets for 735 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 514 air yards.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Quentin Johnston, Week 17 of 2025 against HOU: 47 of 63 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 98 yards, 14.8 PPR points.

Quentin Johnston, Week 16 of 2025 against DAL: 37 of 64 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 104 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Stefon Diggs played 17 games for NE and scored 210.3 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR17.

He caught 85 of 102 targets for 1013 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 659 air yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Stefon Diggs, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 3 targets and 3 catches for 43 yards, 7.3 PPR points.

Stefon Diggs, Week 17 of 2025 against NYJ: 34 of 66 snaps, 6 targets and 6 catches for 101 yards, 1 touchdown, 22.1 PPR points.

Stefon Diggs, Week 16 of 2025 against BAL: 44 of 74 snaps, 10 targets and 9 catches for 138 yards, 22.8 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Stefon Diggs scored 15.5 PPR points and Quentin Johnston scored 3.7.

The call was right: Stefon Diggs outscored Quentin Johnston by 11.8.

Stefon Diggs finished 11.3 points above the 4.2 the props implied.

Stefon Diggs, Week 1 against PHI: 44 of 70 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 55 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.5 PPR points.

Stefon Diggs finished as the week's WR19 in PPR scoring.

Quentin Johnston, Week 1 against ARI: 43 of 55 snaps, 6 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards, 3.7 PPR points.

Quentin Johnston finished as the week's WR82 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR15 · WAS · bye 7

2025 vs catches line 9-8

Overall rank
76
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR59 · LAC · bye 7

2025 vs rec yds line 4-10

Overall rank
163
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
9

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board87
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 9
  • Board size244 draftable players

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