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Start Tee Higgins or Tetairoa McMillan? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Tee Higgins

Right: 10.5 to 8.9
Start

Tetairoa McMillan

WR · CAR · vs CHI

Books imply
5.6
fantasy pts
CHI D vs WR
42.3
5th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
82%
Week 1
Target share
24%
Week 1
Scored
10.5
PPR pts
Sit

Tee Higgins

WR · CIN · vs TB

TB D vs WR
19.1
4th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
72%
Week 1
Target share
18%
Week 1
Scored
8.9
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Tee Higgins in Week 1.

Tetairoa McMillan is priced by the books at 5.6 projected points. Tee Higgins has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Tetairoa McMillan at ADP 35 and Tee Higgins at 37. Market coverage on Tetairoa McMillan is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 5.6 fantasy points for Tetairoa McMillan, with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Tee Higgins in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Tetairoa McMillan and CAR host CHI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CHI allowed 42.3 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 213 yards and 2 touchdowns against CHI.

Tee Higgins and CIN host TB.

TB allowed 19.1 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 4th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 101 yards and no touchdowns against TB.

By points allowed to the position, Tetairoa McMillan has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tetairoa McMillan was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Tee Higgins was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 45 of 51 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 85 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 17 of 2025 against SEA: 44 of 53 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards, 1.5 PPR points.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 16 of 2025 against TB: 47 of 54 snaps, 10 targets and 6 catches for 73 yards, 1 touchdown, 19.3 PPR points.

In 2025, Tee Higgins played 15 games for CIN and scored 211.6 PPR points, 14.1 a game, finishing WR15.

He caught 59 of 98 targets for 846 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 680 air yards.

He was on the field for 80 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tee Higgins, Week 18 of 2025 against CLE: 9 targets and 6 catches for 67 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.7 PPR points.

Tee Higgins, Week 17 of 2025 against ARI: 44 of 77 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 59 yards, 9.9 PPR points.

Tee Higgins, Week 16 of 2025 against MIA: 38 of 61 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards, 1 touchdown, 14.3 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Tetairoa McMillan scored 10.5 PPR points and Tee Higgins scored 8.9.

The call was right: Tetairoa McMillan outscored Tee Higgins by 1.6.

Tetairoa McMillan finished 4.9 points above the 5.6 the props implied.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 1 against CHI: 56 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 75 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

Tetairoa McMillan finished as the week's WR32 in PPR scoring.

Tee Higgins, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 59 yards, 8.9 PPR points.

Tee Higgins finished as the week's WR42 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR25 · CIN · bye 6

2025 vs rec yds line 7-8

Overall rank
90
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR31 · CAR · bye 5

2025 vs rec yds line 7-10

Overall rank
98
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board8
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size244 draftable players

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