Start Trey McBride or Zay Flowers? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Trey McBride over Zay Flowers
- Books imply
- 17.4
- fantasy pts
- Books imply
- 17.0
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 29%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 25%
- Through Week 1
Our Week 3 call
Start Trey McBride over Zay Flowers in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Trey McBride at 17.4 points and Zay Flowers at 17.0, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 17.4 fantasy points for Trey McBride, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Trey McBride at 67.5 receiving yards and 7.5 receptions, with a 33% chance to score a touchdown (14, 12 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 17.0 fantasy points for Zay Flowers, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Zay Flowers at 71.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 47% chance to score a touchdown (7, 6 and 6 books).
That puts Trey McBride 0.3 points ahead of Zay Flowers on the books.
Injury status
Trey McBride is not on the injury report.
Zay Flowers is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 1, Zay Flowers played 29 percent of BAL snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 34 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Zay Flowers, Week 1 against IND: 20 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 150 yards, 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Zay Flowers played 17 games for BAL and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.
He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 753 air yards.
He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Zay Flowers, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 6 targets and 4 catches for 138 yards, 2 touchdowns, 29.8 PPR points.
Zay Flowers, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 52 of 76 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.0 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
TE1 · ARI · bye 14
2025 vs rec yds line 9-8
- Overall rank
- 18
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 1
Ranked behind
WR7 · BAL · bye 13
2025 vs rec yds line 9-8
- Overall rank
- 20
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board2
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 1 and tier 5
- Board size230 draftable players
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