Start Tyler Warren or Tucker Kraft? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Tyler Warren over Tucker Kraft
Right: 10.3 to 9.5
- Books imply
- 2.1
- fantasy pts
- BAL D vs TE
- 10.3
- 12th fewest to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 93%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 17%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 10.3
- PPR pts

- MIN D vs TE
- 16.5
- 10th most to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 66%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 15%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 9.5
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Tyler Warren over Tucker Kraft in Week 1.
Tyler Warren is priced by the books at 2.1 projected points. Tucker Kraft has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Tyler Warren at ADP 68 and Tucker Kraft at 108. Market coverage on Tyler Warren is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 2.1 fantasy points for Tyler Warren, with 33 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Tucker Kraft in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Tyler Warren and IND host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
BAL allowed 10.3 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 13 yards and a touchdown against BAL.
Tucker Kraft and GB visit MIN.
MIN allowed 16.5 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 10th most in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 115 yards and no touchdowns against MIN.
By points allowed to the position, Tucker Kraft has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Tyler Warren was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Tucker Kraft was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Tyler Warren played 17 games for IND and scored 188.5 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE4.
He caught 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 19 red zone targets and 343 air yards.
He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Tyler Warren, Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 8 targets and 5 catches for 26 yards, 7.6 PPR points.
Tyler Warren, Week 17 of 2025 against JAX: 49 of 57 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 43 yards, 9.3 PPR points.
Tyler Warren, Week 16 of 2025 against SF: 53 of 60 snaps, 9 targets and 3 catches for 30 yards, 6.0 PPR points.
In 2025, Tucker Kraft played 8 games for GB and scored 117.2 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing TE24.
He caught 32 of 44 targets for 489 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 145 air yards.
He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Tyler Warren scored 10.3 PPR points and Tucker Kraft scored 9.5.
The call was right: Tyler Warren outscored Tucker Kraft by 0.8.
Tyler Warren finished 8.2 points above the 2.1 the props implied.
Tyler Warren, Week 1 against BAL: 50 of 54 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 13 yards, 1 touchdown, 10.3 PPR points.
Tyler Warren finished as the week's TE14 in PPR scoring.
Tucker Kraft, Week 1 against MIN: 45 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 65 yards, 9.5 PPR points.
Tucker Kraft finished as the week's TE18 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
TE2 · IND · bye 13
2025 vs rec yds line 3-14
- Overall rank
- 9
- Draft pick
- ADP 9
- Tier
- 2
Ranked behind
TE4 · GB · bye 11
2025 vs catches line 4-4
- Overall rank
- 88
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board79
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 2 and tier 3
- Board size244 draftable players
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