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Start Wil Lutz or Tyler Loop? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Wil Lutz over Tyler Loop

Wrong: 4.0 to 14.0
Start

Wil Lutz

K · DEN · at KC

Books imply
6.5
fantasy pts
Scored
4.0
PPR pts
Sit

Tyler Loop

K · BAL · at IND

Scored
14.0
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Wil Lutz over Tyler Loop in Week 1.

Wil Lutz is priced by the books at 6.5 projected points. Tyler Loop has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Wil Lutz at ADP 198 and Tyler Loop at 204.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Wil Lutz, with 100 percent of the markets a K needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Tyler Loop in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Wil Lutz and DEN visit KC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

Tyler Loop and BAL visit IND.

Injury status

Wil Lutz was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Tyler Loop was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Wil Lutz played 17 games for DEN and scored 130.0 PPR points, 7.6 a game, finishing K15.

Wil Lutz, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 4 of 4 field goals, 1 of 1 extra point, 14.0 PPR points.

Wil Lutz, Week 17 of 2025 against KC: 2 of 2 field goals, 2 of 2 extra points, 8.0 PPR points.

Wil Lutz, Week 16 of 2025 against JAX: 2 of 3 field goals, 2 of 2 extra points, 9.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Tyler Loop played 17 games for BAL and scored 138.0 PPR points, 8.1 a game, finishing K12.

Tyler Loop, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 1 of 2 field goals, 3 of 3 extra points, 6.0 PPR points.

Tyler Loop, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 2 of 2 field goals, 5 of 5 extra points, 11.0 PPR points.

Tyler Loop, Week 16 of 2025 against NE: 1 of 2 field goals, 3 of 3 extra points, 5.0 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Wil Lutz scored 4.0 PPR points and Tyler Loop scored 14.0.

The call was wrong: Tyler Loop outscored Wil Lutz by 10.0.

Wil Lutz finished 2.5 points below the 6.5 the props implied.

Wil Lutz, Week 1 against KC: 1 of 1 field goal, 1 of 1 extra point, 4.0 PPR points.

Tyler Loop, Week 1 against IND: 2 of 2 field goals, 5 of 5 extra points, 14.0 PPR points.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

K8 · DEN · bye 10

Overall rank
131
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

Ranked behind

K9 · BAL · bye 13

Overall rank
132
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board1
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 2
  • Board size244 draftable players

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